Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 12, 2025 at 8pm UK
Celtic Park
Celtic1 - 2Bayern
The Match
Match Report
Harry Kane scores the decisive goal to fire Bayern Munich to a narrow victory in the first leg of their Champions League knockout round playoff against Celtic.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Celtic and Bayern Munich.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Celtic and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Bayern Munich could line up for their Champions League playoff against Celtic on Wednesday night.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Celtic 5-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, February 8 at 5.30pm in Scottish Cup
Saturday, February 8 at 5.30pm in Scottish Cup
Goals
for
for
73
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Werder Bremen
Friday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.46%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Bayern Munich |
45.01% ( 0.54) | 22.62% ( -0.01) | 32.37% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 65.43% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.81% ( -0.15) | 35.19% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.8% ( -0.17) | 57.2% ( 0.17) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( 0.15) | 16.2% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.31% ( 0.26) | 45.68% ( -0.26) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( -0.36) | 21.92% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.81% ( -0.54) | 55.19% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
Celtic 45.01%
Bayern Munich 32.37%
Draw 22.62%
| Celtic | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.11% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.73% Total : 45.01% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.46% Total : 32.37% |
How you voted: Celtic vs Bayern
Celtic
17.7%Draw
11.1%Bayern Munich
71.2%271
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
Oct 18, 2017 7.45pm
Form Guide
Build-up
Bayern lineup vs. Celtic: Predicted XI for Wednesday's Champions League playoff first leg
Sports Mole looks at how Bayern Munich could line up for their Champions League playoff against Celtic on Wednesday night.
39 days ago
Celtic lineup vs. Bayern: Predicted XI for Wednesday's Champions League playoff first leg
Sports Mole looks at how Celtic could line up for their Champions League playoff against Bayern Munich on Wednesday night.
39 days ago
