With the knockout stages of the Africa Cup of Nations now in full swing, host nation Cameroon take on debutants Comoros at the Paul Biya Stadium for a place in the semi-finals on Monday.
The Indomitable Lions have enjoyed an unbeaten campaign so far, finishing top in Group A, while Comoros stunned Ghana in a thrilling group finale to progress to the next phase of the tournament.
Match preview
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With the home crowd roaring them on, Cameroon will head into the knockout stages with real belief and confidence in their chances of going all the way in this year's Africa Cup of Nations following an impressive group-stage run.
After losing just one game in the qualifiers, the Indomitable Lions got the 33rd edition of the continental tournament underway on January 9, when they came from behind to claim a 2-1 victory over Burkina Faso.
This was followed by a dominant 4-1 victory over Ethiopia four days later, when Vincent Aboubakar struck twice in the second half to inspire another comeback win before wrapping things up in the group stages with a 1-1 draw with Cape Verde last time out.
In that encounter, the Cameroonians opened the scoring for the first time in the tournament in the 39th minute through Aboubakar before Garry Rodrigues struck eight minutes after the half-time break to force a share of the spoils and send Cape Verde through to the last 16.
Now heading into the round of 16, Toni Conceicao's men could not have wished for a better draw and will be licking their lips as they go up against an inexperienced Comoros side who are making their first appearance at the tournament.
Cameroon, who have conquered the continent on five occasions, including their last title win in 2017 when they claimed a 2-1 victory over Egypt in the final, are now unbeaten in each of their last seven games in all competitions, claiming six wins and one draw since September's 2-1 loss to Ivory Coast.
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However, there have been several surprising results at the tournament, including Comoros' 3-2 victory over Ghana in Tuesday's final Group C showdown which ensured their passage to the knockout stages as one of the four best third-placed sides.
After El Fardou Ben and Ahmed Mogni put the newcomers into a commanding two-goal lead, Richmond Boakye and Alexander Djiku struck in a 13-minute spell to restore parity but Mogni was at it again as he grabbed his second of the game with five minutes left to play to send the Black Stars packing.
Prior to that, Amir Abdou's side kicked off their campaign with a 1-0 defeat at the hands of Gabon on January 10, before falling to a 2-0 loss against Morocco in their second group outing four days later.
With three points from three games, the Coelacanth finished third in Group C, two points above rock-bottom Ghana and two below Gabon to make history and qualify for the knockout stages as one of the four best third-placed nations.
On the back of their victory over the Black Stars, Comoros, who have won just one of their last six competitive games, will now look to cause another upset and continue their fairy-tale ride at the tournament.
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Team News
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Cameroon boast several European-based superstars in their camp and with the business end of the competition now in full motion, we expect Conceicao to name a familiar side on Monday.
In defence we expect to see an unchanged back four of Collins Fai, Harold Moukoudi, Michael Ngadeu and Seattle Sounders full-back Nouhou Tolo shielding Andre Onana between the sticks.
Further up the pitch, Andre Zambo Anguissa, Karl Toko Ekambi and Nicolas Moumie Ngamaleu have started each of the Indomitable Lions' three games so far and the trio should be tasked with winning the midfield battle once again.
Aboubakar has been pivotal in Cameroon's journey so far, scoring five goals in three games and the 30-year-old forward will undoubtedly be one to keep an eye out for.
With his strike against Cape Verde last time out, the former Porto man has now equalled Samuel Eto'o''s record of being the only Cameroonian to score in three straight AFCON matches and he will look ink his name in the nation's history books on Monday.
Meanwhile, Comoros have reportedly been rocked with multiple COVID-19 cases, throwing their preparation for Monday's historic last-16 clash into jeopardy.
Most notably, head coach Abdou and the goalkeeping duo of Moyadh Ousseni and Ali Ahmada have all contracted the virus, and while there will be a fresh batch of testing before the game, their participation is currently a major doubt.
Salim Ben Boina was hooked off the pitch just 26 minutes into the game against Ghana last time out through injury, but the 30-year-old goalkeeper could be rushed back into action due to the COVID situation in the squad.
Ben, who boasts an impressive 16 goals in 31 outings for the Coelacanth, opened his account at the tournament against Ghana and we expect the Red Star Belgrade man to lead the line once again.
Cameroon possible starting lineup:
Onana; Fai, Moukoudi, Ngadeu, Tolo; Gouet, Anguissa, Ngamaleu; Ekambi, Aboubakar, Choupo-Moting
Comoros possible starting lineup:
Boina; Abdallah, M'dahoma, Zahary, Bakari; Youssouf, Mohamed; Djoudja, Mogni, M'Changama; Ben
We say: Cameroon 2-0 Comoros
Cameroon have enjoyed a fine start to the tournament and head into Monday's game as one of the most free-scoring sides so far. With the backing of the local fans, they stand the chance of going all the way this year and we are tipping them to claim the win in normal time and bring an end to Comoros' fairy-tale ride.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.24%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.
Eq Guinea
Nigeria
Ivory Coast
Guinea-Bissau
Cape Verde
Egypt
Ghana
Mozambique
Senegal
Guinea
Cameroon
Gambia
Angola
Burkina Faso
Mauritania
Algeria
Mali
South Africa
Namibia
Tunisia
Morocco
Congo DR
Tanzania
Zambia
