Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 10.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a St Pauli win it was 1-2 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | St Pauli |
74.3% ( 1.35) | 15.18% ( -0.53) | 10.53% ( -0.81) |
Both teams to score 55.46% ( -0.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.87% ( 0.21) | 31.13% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.46% ( 0.25) | 52.54% ( -0.24) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.89% ( 0.32) | 7.11% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.09% ( 0.83) | 25.91% ( -0.82) |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.7% ( -1.26) | 40.3% ( 1.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.08% ( -1.17) | 76.93% ( 1.17) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | St Pauli |
2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.21) 5-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.11) 5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.84% Total : 74.3% | 1-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.18% | 1-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.41% Total : 10.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |