Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 43.67%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Coritiba win it was 1-0 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Corinthians in this match.