Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 2-1 (7.56%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.