Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.