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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 7
May 7, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stadyen Junatstva

Smorgon
1 - 0
Naftan

Nuradin (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kirilenko (77')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Smorgon and Naftan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Smorgon

All competitions
Last Game: BATE 2-0 Smorgon
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League

Naftan

All competitions
Last Game: Naftan 0-3 Dinamo Brest
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smorgon win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Smorgon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Naftan win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Smorgon in this match.

Result
SmorgonDrawNaftan
44.32% (-0.2 -0.2) 24.99% (0.183 0.18) 30.69% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.07% (-0.596 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.89% (-0.784 -0.78)47.11% (0.794 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65% (-0.734 -0.73)69.35% (0.744 0.74)
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (-0.414 -0.41)21.29% (0.423 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (-0.65 -0.65)54.22% (0.659 0.66)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (-0.374 -0.37)28.77% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (-0.472 -0.47)64.61% (0.48099999999999 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Smorgon 44.32%
    Naftan 30.69%
    Draw 24.99%
SmorgonDrawNaftan
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.192 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 44.32%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.12% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.171 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 30.69%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dinamo Minsk2014513692747
2Neman22152529171247
3Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ21134430151543
4Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest23125652272541
5Vitebsk2310582318535
6Gomel239773123834
7Arsenal Dzerzhinsk239682626033
8SlutskSlutsk239592334-1132
9Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr227872424029
10IslochIsloch237792423128
11BATE BorisovBATE237792424028
12Smorgon2248102341-1820
13FC MinskFC Minsk2247112032-1219
14Naftan2138102133-1217
15Dnepr Mogilev2226141942-2312
16Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk2356121734-171
> Belarusian Premier League Full Table


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