Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 68.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Gorodeya had a probability of 11.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Gorodeya win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.