Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 37%. A win for Gorodeya had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Gorodeya win was 1-0 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.