Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 65.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Belshina had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.65%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Belshina win it was 1-0 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.