Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Belshina had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Belshina win it was 1-0 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.