Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 19.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Vitebsk win it was 1-0 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.