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Barcelona logo
La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2021 at 8pm UK
Camp Nou
Athletic Bilbao logo

Barcelona
2 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Messi (20'), Griezmann (75')
de Jong (47'), Alba (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alba (49' og.)
Garcia (32'), Alvarez (39'), Garcia Toral (39'), Capa (77')

Preview: Barcelona vs. Athletic Bilbao - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Barcelona and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Barcelona will be looking to make it five La Liga victories in a row when they continue their 2020-21 campaign at home to a revitalised Athletic Bilbao on Sunday night.

Ronald Koeman's side have picked up 12 points from their last four matches to move into third position in the table, but they are still 10 points behind leaders Atletico Madrid, who also have a game in hand.


Match preview

Barcelona manager Ronald Koeman pictured on January 17, 2021© Reuters

Barca have not been without their problems this season, but the Catalan giants now have their sights on second-placed Real Madrid in Spain's top flight, having won their last four in the league against Huesca, Athletic Bilbao, Granada and Elche during a strong run of form.

Koeman's side are just three points behind the reigning champions in the table, but as mentioned, they sit 10 points off leaders Atletico, who also have a game in hand, which is an indication of the capital outfit's strength at the summit heading into the business end of the season.

Barca lost 3-2 to Athletic in the final of the Spanish Super Cup on January 17 but recorded a 3-2 victory over the same opponents in the league when they locked horns on January 6.

As well as four straight league victories, the Catalan giants also progressed to the quarter-finals of the Copa del Rey on Wednesday night courtesy of a 2-1 victory over Rayo Vallecano, with Lionel Messi and Frenkie de Jong scoring in the latter stages of the contest at Estadio de Vallecas.

Barca will be determined to continue their strong domestic form but will also certainly have one eye on their upcoming Champions League last-16 clash with Paris Saint-Germain.

Athletic Bilbao celebrate beating Barcelona in the Spanish Super Cup final on January 17, 2021© Reuters

As mentioned, Athletic beat Barca 3-2 in the final of the Spanish Super Cup on January 17, with Inaki Williams scoring what proved to be the winner on a famous night for the club in Seville.

Like their opponents here, Los Leones have also progressed to the quarter-finals of the Copa del Rey, recording a 2-1 victory over Alcoyano on Thursday night to advance.

Marcelino's side have actually won each of their last five games in all competitions since the 3-2 loss to Barca in the league, including a 5-1 home success over Getafe in Spain's top flight last weekend.

A record of 24 points from 19 matches has left Athletic in ninth position in the table, just four points off seventh-placed Granada, and they will certainly enter this weekend's contest in a confident mood.

Barcelona La Liga form: WDWWWW
Barcelona form (all competitions): WWLWWW

Athletic Bilbao La Liga form: WDLWLW
Athletic Bilbao form (all competitions): LWWWWW


Team News

Barcelona's Lionel Messi celebrates scoring against Rayo Vallecano in the Copa del Rey on January 27, 2021© Reuters

Barca will be without the services of Sergio Busquets through suspension, meaning that there could be a spot in the middle of the park for Miralem Pjanic, who has struggled for action since arriving last summer.

Ansu Fati, Gerard Pique and Philippe Coutinho are still injured, but Sergi Roberto has recently returned to training following a muscular problem and could potentially make the squad.

There will be changes from the side that started against Rayo in the Copa del Rey, with Marc-Andre ter Stegen, Sergino Dest, Jordi Alba and Ousmane Dembele in line to return, but Antoine Griezmann should keep his spot alongside Messi in the final third of the field.

As for Athletic, Peru Nolaskoain is still absent through injury, while Inigo Martinez and Mikel Balenziaga are both doubts for the visitors to Camp Nou.

Head coach Marcelino will also make wholesale changes from the side that started in the Copa del Rey on Thursday, with Raul Garcia, Iker Muniain, Williams and Dani Garcia all in line to return.

Ander Capa, Unai Vencedor and Unai Simon should also be back in the starting XI, while Yuri Berchiche should feature at left-back with Balenziaga not expected to be risked.

Barcelona possible starting lineup:
Ter Stegen; Dest, Araujo, Lenglet, Alba; De Jong, Pjanic, Pedri; Griezmann, Messi, Dembele

Athletic Bilbao possible starting lineup:
Simon; Capa, Alvarez, Nunez, Berchiche; De Marcos, Vencedor, D Garcia, Muniain; Williams, R Garcia


SM words green background

We say: Barcelona 2-1 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic's recent form cannot be ignored, and there is no question that the visitors will arrive at Camp Nou in a confident mood following five straight wins. Barca's form has also been impressive, though, and we just fancy Koeman's side to edge a tight contest on Sunday night.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 14.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao

Barcelona
72.0%
Draw
11.8%
Athletic Bilbao
16.1%
161
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Barcelona's Lionel Messi celebrates scoring against Rayo Vallecano in the Copa del Rey on January 27, 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal127322319424
5GironaGirona146352018221
6Mallorca146351312121
7Osasuna136341720-321
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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