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Augsburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Jan 10, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Stuttgart

Augsburg
1 - 4
Stuttgart

Richter (46')
Gruezo (23'), Richter (73')
Richter (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gonzalez (10' pen.), Wamangituka (29'), Castro (61'), Didavi (87')
Anton (32'), Endo (50')

Preview: Augsburg vs. Stuttgart - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Augsburg host Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on Sunday with the visitors looking to bounce back after two successive defeats.

Augsburg, meanwhile, have won two of their last three matches to move one place ahead of their forthcoming opponents in the table.


Match preview

Augsburg head coach Heiko Herrlich pictured on May 27, 2020© Reuters

Surviving relegation is generally the primary aim for a club of Augsburg's size, and Heiko Herrlich certainly appears to be guiding his side to achieving that comfortably this campaign.

Saturday's 1-0 win at struggling FC Koln indicated their superiority over the bottom four clubs in the league, with Iago's late strike moving Augsburg to 10th in the table.

In truth it was a hugely uninspiring game, with Florian Niederlechner unquestionably the brightest player on the pitch. The forward is yet to score in the league yet this season and cruelly - but correctly - had his diving header ruled out for offside in the first half. However, the 30-year-old impressively kept his spirit intact, laying the ball on a plate for Iago, who could not miss from four yards out to seal the victory 13 minutes from time.

Herrlich will have been hugely encouraged by how solid his side were defensively yet again, though, with only five sides having conceded fewer goals in the Bundesliga this season. If Augsburg can find a more creative spark, a top-half finish is certainly not out of the question.

VfB Stuttgart coach Pellegrino Matarazzo before the match on January 2, 2021© Reuters

Stuttgart, meanwhile, had a blistering start to the season but have understandably slowed down in recent weeks in their first season back in the Bundesliga, having gained promotion from the second tier last season.

Pellegrino Matarazzo's side struggled to create chances in the 1-0 defeat at home to RB Leipzig on Saturday, with Waldemar Anton's strike their only shot on target across the 90 minutes as Dani Olmo's close-range finish for the visitors ultimately proved the difference between the sides.

There is no shame in failing to score against Leipzig at the moment, though, with Julian Nagelsmann's side keeping a clean sheet in each of their last four games and comfortably conceding the fewest goals in the division.

Augsburg may prove a tough nut to crack, too, but Matarazzo will be imploring his players to take the game to the hosts, especially with Stuttgart boasting a far superior record on their travels this season compared to how they have fared at home so far this season.

Augsburg Bundesliga form: DLDWLW
Augsburg form (all competitions): LDWLLW

Stuttgart Bundesliga form: LWWDLL
Stuttgart form (all competitions): WWDLWL


Team News

Stuttgart's Gonzalo Castro celebrates with teammates after scoring against Eintracht Frankfurt on November 7, 2020© Reuters

Augsburg will be without Fredrik Jensen, Alfred Finnbogason, Jan Moravek and Raphael Framberger against Stuttgart due to injury.

Jeffrey Gouweleeuw is suspended for one match, meanwhile, after picking up his fifth caution of the season during the win at Koln, with former West Ham United defender Reece Oxford likely to continue in defence.

Stuttgart, meanwhile, are without Lilian Egloff, Maxime Awoudja, Erik Thommy, Clinton Mola and Hamadi Al Ghaddioui due to injury, with Daniel Didavi doubtful due to flu.

Tanguy Coulibaly is likely to return to the starting XI having only been used from the substitutes' bench in defeat against Leipzig.

Augsburg possible starting lineup:
Gikiewicz; Gumny, Oxford, Uduokhai; Caligiuri, Strobl, Gruezo, Iago; Richter, Niederlechner, Vargas

Stuttgart possible starting lineup:
Kobel; Stenzel, Anton, Kempf; Wamangituka, Castro, Endo, Mangala, Sosa; Gonzalez, Coulibaly


SM words green background

We say: Augsburg 1-2 Stuttgart

With Stuttgart winning four of their seven matches on the road this season, we can see Matarazzo's side edging a closely fought match on Sunday.

There is no doubt the Bundesliga newboys have greater offensive quality than Augsburg, which could make the difference on the day.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 67.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 14.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Augsburg vs Stuttgart

Augsburg
30.9%
Draw
21.3%
Stuttgart
47.9%
94
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RB Leipzig head coach Julian Nagelsmann pictured on November 7, 2020
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Tables header RHS

Group A

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1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

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1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

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1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

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1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

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1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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