Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 26
Oct 18, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Sarmiento2 - 4San Lorenzo
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and San Lorenzo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-1 Boca Juniors
Wednesday, October 12 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, October 12 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-1 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, October 12 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, October 12 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (12.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sarmiento | Draw | San Lorenzo |
34.08% ( -0.02) | 29.26% ( -0.02) | 36.66% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 44.09% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.25% ( 0.07) | 62.75% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.72% ( 0.05) | 82.29% ( -0.05) |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.55% ( 0.02) | 34.45% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.83% ( 0.02) | 71.16% ( -0.02) |
San Lorenzo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.26% ( 0.07) | 32.74% ( -0.07) |