Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 26

Oct 18, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Sarmiento
2 - 4
San Lorenzo

Gondou (25'), Quinteros (82')
Andueza (29'), Guanini (59'), Martinez Rojas (65')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Braida (18', 61'), Vombergar (42'), Bareiro (45')
Barrios (29'), Bareiro (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and San Lorenzo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarmiento

All competitions

Last Game: Sarmiento 0-1 Boca Juniors
Wednesday, October 12 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

San Lorenzo

All competitions

Last Game: Gimnasia 0-1 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, October 12 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (12.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	San Lorenzo
34.08% ( -0.02)	29.26% ( -0.02)	36.66% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 44.09% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.25% (

0.07)

62.75% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.72% (

0.05)

82.29% (

-0.05)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.55% (

0.02)

34.45% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.83% (

0.02)

71.16% (

-0.02)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.26% (

0.07)

32.74% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.7% (

0.08)

69.3% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 34.07%

San Lorenzo 36.65%

Draw 29.25%

Sarmiento	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 34.07%	1-1 @ 13.42% 0-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.25%	0-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.65%