Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 18.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.02%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Rosario Central	Draw	Deportivo Riestra
54.4% ( 0.93)	27.24% ( -0.32)	18.35% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 38.09% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.52% (

0.32)

64.47% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.48% (

0.23)

83.52% (

-0.23)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.83% (

0.56)

24.16% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.51% (

0.79)

58.48% (

-0.79)

Deportivo Riestra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.23% (

-0.55)

49.77% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.5% (

-0.39)

84.49% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Rosario Central 54.4%

Deportivo Riestra 18.35%

Draw 27.23%

Rosario Central	Draw	Deportivo Riestra
1-0 @ 17.08% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 54.4%	0-0 @ 12.02% ( -0.14) 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.35% Total : 27.23%	0-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.35%