Colon have not won any of their last five away matches and failed to score in four of them, while the champions-elect are on an eight-match winning streak at home and have kept six clean sheets during that run. With such contrasting forms, it is unsurprising that the hosts are the clear favourites coming into this match, and we expect that they will record a fairly straightforward win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 81.27%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Colon had a probability of 5.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.62%) and 3-0 (13.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Colon
81.27% ( -0.2)	13.63% ( 0.12)	5.1% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 33.04% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.98% (

-0.24)

45.02% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.63% (

-0.23)

67.38% (

0.23)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.21% (

-0.1)

8.79% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.84% (

-0.25)

30.16% (

0.25)

Colon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.23% (

0.1)

63.78% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.54% (

0.04)

92.46% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

River Plate 81.25%

Colon 5.1%

Draw 13.63%

River Plate	Draw	Colon
2-0 @ 16.57% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 13.62% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 13.43% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.57% Total : 81.25%	1-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 13.63%	0-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.2% Total : 5.1%