River Plate will be confident of securing their safe passage through to the knockout stages with a victory, and we expect them to do so given their superior individual ability. The Strongest are regular qualifiers for the Copa Libertadores, but they rarely make it beyond the group stages, and we think that will be the case once again this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 83.05%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 5.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.18%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (1.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for River Plate.

Result
River Plate	Draw	The Strongest
83.05% ( -0.32)	11.59% ( 0.21)	5.37% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 42.67% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.7% (

-0.58)

33.3% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.93% (

-0.67)

55.07% (

0.67)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.11% (

-0.17)

5.89% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.42% (

-0.49)

22.58% (

0.49)

The Strongest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.34% (

-0.06)

54.66% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.32% (

-0.04)

87.68% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

River Plate 83.04%

The Strongest 5.37%

Draw 11.59%

River Plate	Draw	The Strongest
2-0 @ 12.91% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) 7-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.57% Total : 83.04%	1-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 11.59%	0-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.76% Total : 5.37%