Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa1 - 0Newell's OB
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Newell's Old Boys.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-2 Defensa
Monday, February 6 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, February 6 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-0 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, February 3 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, February 3 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.
Result | ||
Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
42.42% ( 0.58) | 27.36% ( 0.27) | 30.21% ( -0.85) |
Both teams to score 48.43% ( -1.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.12% ( -1.28) | 56.88% ( 1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.2% ( -1.03) | 77.8% ( 1.03) |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.5% ( -0.28) | 26.5% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.31% ( -0.37) | 61.69% ( 0.37) |
Newell's Old Boys Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.89% ( -1.29) | 34.11% ( 1.29) |