Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10

Jul 25, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

Newell's OB
1 - 2
Defensa

Garro (90+5')
Sforza (17'), Ditta (31'), Sordo (56'), Perez (59'), Luciano (86'), Lema (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fernandez (5'), Duarte (48')
Fontana (12'), Souto (45+1'), Lopez (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Newell's Old Boys 1-0 Defensa y Justicia

Off the back of a bump in the road last time out, the home side will be keen to bounce back against their visitors, who look to have got their act together of late. We expected a close encounter with Newell's Old Boys battling to a hard-fought victory at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 43.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 27.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Newell's Old Boys	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
43.48% ( -0.17)	28.54% ( 0.26)	27.98% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 44.09% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.19% (

-0.91)

61.81% (

0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.4% (

-0.68)

81.59% (

0.68)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.74% (

-0.53)

28.26% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.03% (

-0.67)

63.97% (

0.67)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.46% (

-0.58)

38.54% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.71% (

-0.56)

75.29% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Newell's Old Boys 43.48%

Defensa y Justicia 27.98%

Draw 28.53%

Newell's Old Boys	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 13.76% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.64% Total : 43.48%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.53%	0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.57% Total : 27.98%