Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 25, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello
Defensa2 - 0Newell's OB
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Defensa y Justicia and Newell's Old Boys.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 49.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 49.72% | 26.14% | 24.14% |
| Both teams to score 47.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
