Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 27
Oct 22, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello
Defensa3 - 1Tucuman
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Atletico Tucuman.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colon 1-2 Defensa
Tuesday, October 18 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, October 18 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 Union
Tuesday, October 18 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, October 18 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
12
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
48.99% ( 0.51) | 26.33% ( 0.24) | 24.68% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 47.64% ( -1.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
