Ulsan

3 - 1

Sh. Shenhua

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.