Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Hebei China Fortune had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Hebei China Fortune win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.