Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kitchee win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Port had a probability of 37.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kitchee win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.89%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Port win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kitchee would win this match.