MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 22:03:56| >> :60:84:84:
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 12, 2023 at 10am UK
Tan Sri Dato' Hj Hassan Yunos Stadium

Johor Darul
4 - 1
Pathum Utd

Bergson (55' pen., 66'), Endrick (86'), Aiman (90+2')
Heberty (26'), Davies (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sergeev (28')
Stewart (22'), Alves (38'), Sergeev (67')
Alves (53')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Johor Darul Ta'zim and BG Pathum United.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Kawasaki 5-0 Johor Darul
Tuesday, November 28 at 10am in AFC Champions League
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Last Game: Pathum Utd 1-3 Ulsan
Tuesday, November 28 at 10am in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Johor Darul Ta'zim win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 13.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a BG Pathum United win it was 1-2 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Johor Darul Ta'zim would win this match.

Result
Johor Darul Ta'zimDrawBG Pathum United
69.06% (-0.212 -0.21) 17.4% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 13.54% (0.164 0.16)
Both teams to score 56.97% (0.339 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.04% (0.19800000000001 0.2)33.95% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.19% (0.227 0.23)55.81% (-0.23 -0.23)
Johor Darul Ta'zim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.09% (0.00099999999999056 0)8.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.57% (0.010999999999996 0.01)30.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
BG Pathum United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54% (0.368 0.37)37.46% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.76% (0.359 0.36)74.24% (-0.36399999999999 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Johor Darul Ta'zim 69.06%
    BG Pathum United 13.54%
    Draw 17.4%
Johor Darul Ta'zimDrawBG Pathum United
2-0 @ 9.75% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.06% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 7.87% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 7.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 4.76% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.29% (0.025 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-2 @ 1.11% (0.012 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.009 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 69.06%
1-1 @ 7.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.33% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.4%
1-2 @ 3.89% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.61% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.27% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 13.54%

How you voted: Johor Darul vs Pathum Utd

Johor Darul Ta'zim
100%
Draw
0.0%
BG Pathum United
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 1pm
Group Stage
Pathum Utd
2-4
Johor Darul
Cardozo (5' pen., 55')
Cardozo (57'), Yooyen (73'), Sergeev (88'), Alvarez (90+4')
Aiman (6', 78'), Bergson (14'), Muniz (53')
Muniz (63'), Wan (85')
rhs 2.0
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