AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 19, 2023 at 11am UK

Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium

Ulsan
3 - 1
Pathum Utd

Adam (28', 73', 78')
Jung (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Stewart (41')
Veerachart (40')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Ulsan Hyundai and BG Pathum United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ulsan Hyundai

Last Game: Johor Darul 2-1 Ulsan
Saturday, April 30 at 10am in AFC Champions League

BG Pathum United

Last Game: Shanghai Port 2-3 Pathum Utd
Tuesday, August 22 at 12.30pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.

Result
Ulsan Hyundai	Draw	BG Pathum United
46.56% ( -0.06)	24.25% ( -0.03)	29.19% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 57.7% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.42% (

0.2)

44.58% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.06% (

0.19)

66.94% (

-0.19)

Ulsan Hyundai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.72% (

0.05)

19.28% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.98% (

0.09)

51.02% (

-0.08)

BG Pathum United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.49% (

0.17)

28.51% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.71% (

0.21)

64.29% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Ulsan Hyundai 46.56%

BG Pathum United 29.19%

Draw 24.25%

Ulsan Hyundai	Draw	BG Pathum United
2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 46.56%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.25%	1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.19%