MX23RW : Friday, September 27 23:43:21| >> :60:56:56:
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 10am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
4 - 2
Pathum Utd

Wakizaka (16' pen., 40' pen.), Yamamura (68'), Miyashiro (90+8')
Tachibanada (81')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Songkrasin (33', 41')
Sawatlakhorn (38'), Alvarez (53'), Alves (79')
Alvarez (57')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Kawasaki Frontale and BG Pathum United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Kawasaki
Sunday, October 29 at 6am in J1 League

BG Pathum United

All competitions
Last Game: Pathum Utd 2-4 Kawasaki
Tuesday, October 24 at 1pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 55.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a BG Pathum United win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawBG Pathum United
55.23% (0.07 0.07) 22.72% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 22.05% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.69% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07% (0.094999999999999 0.09)43.93% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.68% (0.093000000000004 0.09)66.32% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.22% (0.058000000000007 0.06)15.78% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.08% (0.107 0.11)44.92% (-0.107 -0.11)
BG Pathum United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (0.016999999999996 0.02)33.87% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (0.02 0.02)70.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 55.23%
    BG Pathum United 22.05%
    Draw 22.71%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawBG Pathum United
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.11% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 6.07% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.8% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 55.23%
1-1 @ 10.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 5.79% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 22.05%

Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 1pm
Group Stage
Pathum Utd
2-4
Kawasaki
Sergeev (45+1'), Cardozo (82' pen.)
Choolthong (34')
Tono (14'), Tachibanada (52'), Marcinho (68'), Ominami (77')
Jung (79'), Jesiel (89'), Takai (90+2'), Wakizaka (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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