AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 28, 2023 at 10am UK

BG Stadium

Pathum Utd
1 - 3
Ulsan

Sergeev (69')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Praisuwan (20' og.), Ludwigson (27'), Myung-jae (62')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between BG Pathum United and Ulsan Hyundai.

Form, Standings, Stats

BG Pathum United

Last Game: Kawasaki 4-2 Pathum Utd
Tuesday, November 7 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Ulsan Hyundai

Last Game: Johor Darul 2-1 Ulsan
Tuesday, November 7 at 12pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.

Result
BG Pathum United	Draw	Ulsan Hyundai
31.86% ( -0.11)	24.16% ( -0.13)	43.98% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 59.52% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.15% (

0.57)

42.84% (

-0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.75% (

0.57)

65.24% (

-0.57)

BG Pathum United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.09% (

0.21)

25.91% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.1% (

0.28)

60.9% (

-0.28)

Ulsan Hyundai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.32% (

0.34)

19.67% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.34% (

0.55)

51.65% (

-0.55)

Score Analysis

BG Pathum United 31.86%

Ulsan Hyundai 43.98%

Draw 24.16%

BG Pathum United	Draw	Ulsan Hyundai
2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.86%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.16%	1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.93% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.1% Total : 43.98%