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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 24, 2023 at 11am UK
Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium

Ulsan
3 - 1
Johor Darul

Jung (5'), Ludwigson (12', 18')
Jung (21'), Kim (25'), Lee (86'), Jang (90+1')
Kim (36')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Bergson (53')
Davies (46'), Lowry (54'), Baharudin (80')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Ulsan Hyundai and Johor Darul Ta'zim.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Kawasaki 1-0 Ulsan
Tuesday, October 3 at 11am in AFC Champions League
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Last Game: Pathum Utd 2-4 Johor Darul
Tuesday, October 3 at 1pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Johor Darul Ta'zim win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Ulsan Hyundai had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Ulsan Hyundai win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Ulsan HyundaiDrawJohor Darul Ta'zim
30.33% (-0.725 -0.73) 24.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 45.42% (0.73099999999999 0.73)
Both teams to score 58.39% (-0.376 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.02% (-0.321 -0.32)43.97% (0.321 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.64% (-0.314 -0.31)66.36% (0.315 0.31)
Ulsan Hyundai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (-0.631 -0.63)27.44% (0.632 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.07% (-0.824 -0.82)62.93% (0.825 0.83)
Johor Darul Ta'zim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.48% (0.182 0.18)19.51% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.6% (0.296 0.3)51.4% (-0.295 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Ulsan Hyundai 30.33%
    Johor Darul Ta'zim 45.42%
    Draw 24.25%
Ulsan HyundaiDrawJohor Darul Ta'zim
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-0 @ 6.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.48% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 30.33%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.36% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.171 0.17)
0-2 @ 7.15% (0.179 0.18)
1-3 @ 5.04% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.89% (0.119 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.06% (0.038 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.057 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 45.42%

How you voted: Ulsan vs Johor Darul

Ulsan Hyundai
Draw
Johor Darul Ta'zim
Ulsan Hyundai
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Johor Darul Ta'zim
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 10am
Group Stage
Johor Darul
2-1
Ulsan
Velazquez (5'), Yong-woo (90+4' og.)
Corbin-Ong (64'), Velazquez (83'), Forestieri (87')
Amano (6')
Won (4'), Lee (43'), Yong-woo (83')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Group Stage
Ulsan
1-2
Johor Darul
Won-Sang (52')
Qazaishvili (63')
Forestieri (3'), Bergson (80')
rhs 2.0
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