AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 28, 2023 at 10am UK

Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
5 - 0
Johor Darul

Ienaga (8'), Damiao (50'), Marcinho (60'), Kobayashi (69'), Yamane (88')
Ominami (33'), Tono (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wan (36'), Amat (42'), Baharudin (78'), Fazail (81'), Saad (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Johor Darul Ta'zim.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Kawasaki 3-0 Kashima Antlers
Friday, November 24 at 10am in J1 League

Goals
for

Johor Darul Ta'zim

All competitions

Last Game: Johor Darul 2-1 Ulsan
Tuesday, November 7 at 12pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Johor Darul Ta'zim had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.42%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki Frontale	Draw	Johor Darul Ta'zim
40.63% ( -0.55)	23.12% ( -0.29)	36.25% ( 0.85)

Both teams to score 64.71% (

1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.4% (

1.63)

36.61% (

-1.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.24% (

1.75)

58.76% (

-1.75)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.46% (

0.44)

18.54% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.22% (

0.74)

49.78% (

-0.74)

Johor Darul Ta'zim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.44% (

1.17)

20.56% (

-1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.92% (

1.82)

53.08% (

-1.81)

Score Analysis

Kawasaki Frontale 40.63%

Johor Darul Ta'zim 36.25%

Draw 23.12%

Kawasaki Frontale	Draw	Johor Darul Ta'zim
2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.43) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.66% Total : 40.63%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.25%