Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw has a probability of 19.8% and a win for Brisbane Roar has a probability of 18.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it is 1-2 (4.93%).
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
62.13% ( 0.02) | 19.81% ( 0.08) | 18.06% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 59.14% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.74% ( -0.59) | 36.26% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.62% ( -0.65) | 58.38% ( 0.65) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.77% ( -0.17) | 11.22% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.23% ( -0.38) | 35.77% ( 0.37) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.62% ( -0.47) | 33.38% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30% ( -0.52) | 70% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.65% Total : 62.13% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.81% | 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.99% Total : 18.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 23 |
2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 21 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 19 |
6 | Macarthur | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 18 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 15 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 33 | -26 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 2 |
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