Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Mainz2 - 0VfL Bochum
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-3 Mainz
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-0 Heidenheim
Sunday, December 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, December 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
13
We said: Mainz 05 2-1 VfL Bochum
Mainz are enjoying their best season in recent memory and have dominated this fixture with four wins and a draw in their last five league encounters against Bochum. The hosts ended 2024 with five wins in their last six games, and we feel they will kickstart the New Year with a victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | VfL Bochum |
49.15% ( -0.21) | 23.85% ( 0.05) | 27% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.4% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.78% ( -0.13) | 44.22% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.4% ( -0.12) | 66.6% ( 0.13) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.9% ( -0.13) | 18.1% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.96% ( -0.22) | 49.04% ( 0.22) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.09% ( 0.05) | 29.91% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.99% ( 0.06) | 66.01% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 49.15%
VfL Bochum 27%
Draw 23.84%
| Mainz 05 | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.57% Total : 49.15% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.17% Total : 27% |
How you voted: Mainz vs VfL Bochum
Mainz 05
92.1%Draw
4.8%VfL Bochum
3.2%63
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Mainz
2-0
VfL Bochum
Oct 27, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
VfL Bochum
2-2
Mainz
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
VfL Bochum
1-2
Mainz
Form Guide
