Scottish League One | Gameweek 21
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The C&G Systems Stadium
Dumbarton1 - 2Arbroath
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Dumbarton and Arbroath.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-3 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Arbroath 3-0 Annan
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
43
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Arbroath in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Arbroath |
33.02% ( -0.19) | 23.85% ( -0.04) | 43.12% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 61.1% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.02% ( 0.14) | 40.98% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.63% ( 0.14) | 63.37% ( -0.15) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% ( -0.05) | 24.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.3% ( -0.06) | 58.69% ( 0.06) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.72% ( 0.16) | 19.28% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.99% ( 0.26) | 51.01% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
Dumbarton 33.02%
Arbroath 43.12%
Draw 23.85%
| Dumbarton | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 33.02% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.93% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.28% Total : 43.12% |
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Arbroath
1-3
Dumbarton
Pignatiello (18'), Smith (47' og.), Gray (90')
Brown (11'), Durnan (68'), Wallace (73'), Blair (86')
Brown (11'), Durnan (68'), Wallace (73'), Blair (86')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Arbroath
1-1
Dumbarton
Form Guide
