Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.