Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.