2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Jun 14, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
St Pauli2 - 1Erzgebirge Aue
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Erzgebirge Aue.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 24.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Erzgebirge Aue |
| 49.95% | 25.08% | 24.97% |
| Both teams to score 51.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.96% | 51.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.1% | 72.9% |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% | 20.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.1% | 52.9% |
| Erzgebirge Aue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.81% | 35.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.06% | 71.94% |
| Score Analysis |
St Pauli 49.95%
Erzgebirge Aue 24.97%
Draw 25.07%
| St Pauli | Draw | Erzgebirge Aue |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 9.47% 2-0 @ 9.06% 3-1 @ 5.01% 3-0 @ 4.8% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.65% Total : 49.95% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.51% 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 3.92% 1-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.04% Total : 24.97% |
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 22
St Pauli
1-2
Erzgebirge Aue
Sep 16, 2018 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Erzgebirge Aue
3-1
St Pauli
Apr 7, 2018 12pm
Erzgebirge Aue
2-1
St Pauli
Fandrich (25'), Kvesic (82' pen.)
Hertner (69'), Rizzuto (86')
Hertner (69'), Rizzuto (86')
Oct 27, 2017 5.30pm
St Pauli
1-1
Erzgebirge Aue
Kempe (70')
Wydra (15'), Kempe (87'), Rizzuto (89')
Wydra (15'), Kempe (87'), Rizzuto (89')
Form Guide
