2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 11, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion
Erzgebirge Aue2 - 3Holstein Kiel
Trujic (79'), Hochscheidt (84')
Bussmann (9'), Nazarov (33'), Fandrich (62'), Kuhn (88')
Messeguem (42')
Bussmann (9'), Nazarov (33'), Fandrich (62'), Kuhn (88')
Messeguem (42')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bartels (19'), Gonther (38' og.), Okyere Wriedt (90')
Neumann (44'), Okyere Wriedt (83'), Dahne (90+2')
Neumann (44'), Okyere Wriedt (83'), Dahne (90+2')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Holstein Kiel.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Erzgebirge Aue | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 25.18% | 24.46% | 50.36% |
| Both teams to score 53.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% | 48.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% | 70.47% |
| Erzgebirge Aue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.47% | 33.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.83% | 70.17% |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.79% | 19.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.1% | 50.9% |
| Score Analysis |
Erzgebirge Aue 25.18%
Holstein Kiel 50.35%
Draw 24.46%
| Erzgebirge Aue | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 1-0 @ 7.04% 2-1 @ 6.34% 2-0 @ 3.85% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.91% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.34% Total : 25.18% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 6.44% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 9.58% 0-2 @ 8.77% 1-3 @ 5.27% 0-3 @ 4.82% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 2.17% 0-4 @ 1.99% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.08% Total : 50.35% |
How you voted: Erzgebirge Aue vs Holstein Kiel
Erzgebirge Aue
28.6%Draw
14.3%Holstein Kiel
57.1%14
Form Guide
