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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
3 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue

Porath (29'), Arp (37'), Mees (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nazarov (52'), Messeguem (59'), Zolinski (72'), Strauss (83'), Carlson (87')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Erzgebirge Aue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 22.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawErzgebirge Aue
52.09%25.32%22.58%
Both teams to score 48.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.94%54.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.51%75.49%
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23%20.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.59%53.41%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.96%39.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.24%75.76%
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 52.09%
    Erzgebirge Aue 22.58%
    Draw 25.32%
Holstein KielDrawErzgebirge Aue
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.42%
3-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-0 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 52.09%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 8.11%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 7.63%
1-2 @ 5.64%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 22.58%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 23
Holstein Kiel
1-0
Erzgebirge Aue
Muhling (80' pen.)

Samson (61'), Fandrich (90+2')
Oct 31, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 6
Erzgebirge Aue
1-1
Holstein Kiel
Kruger (2')
Gonther (41'), Riese (59')
Serra (9')
Muhling (13'), Thesker (43'), Meffert (90+2')
Neumann (15')
Feb 16, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 22
Erzgebirge Aue
1-2
Holstein Kiel
Nazarov (70')
Fandrich (22'), Riese (48'), Samson (77')
Ozcan (42'), Iyoha (63')
Thesker (67'), Iyoha (90')
Sep 1, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Holstein Kiel
1-1
Erzgebirge Aue
Jae-sung (73')
Jae-sung (35'), van den Bergh (42'), Ignjovski (94')
Hochscheidt (48')
Gonther (45'), Kalig (82'), Riese (92')
Mar 15, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Holstein Kiel
5-1
Erzgebirge Aue
Honsak (6'), Benes (9', 54'), Okugawa (75'), Seydel (85')
Okugawa (70')
Hochscheidt (26')
Strauss (13')
rhs 2.0
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