Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.