Erzgebirge Aue
3 - 8
SC Paderborn

Nazarov (1', 4', 56' pen.)
Fandrich (45+2'), Gonther (82')

FT(HT: 2-4)

Srbeny (10', 73'), Michel (31', 59'), Fuhrich (41' pen.), Mannel (45+1' og.), Antwi-Adjej (78'), Akolo (82')
Schonlau (25'), Collins (26'), Schallenberg (45+2'), Srbeny (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and SC Paderborn.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.

Result
Erzgebirge Aue	Draw	SC Paderborn
28.16%	25.72%	46.12%

Both teams to score 52.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.55%

51.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.74%

73.26%

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.19%

32.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.63%

69.37%

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.71%

22.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.26%

55.74%

Score Analysis

Erzgebirge Aue 28.16%

SC Paderborn 46.12%

Draw 25.72%

Erzgebirge Aue	Draw	SC Paderborn
1-0 @ 8.15% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.54% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.16%	1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.31% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 10.97% 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-2 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 4.6% 0-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.12%