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World Cup
Chile national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 13, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental David Arellano
Colombia national football team

Chile
0 - 0
Colombia


Catalan (39')
FT

Arias (41'), Carrascal (48'), Diaz (54'), Machado (64'), Duran (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uruguay 3-1 Chile
Saturday, September 9 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Colombia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Colombia 1-0 Venezuela
Friday, September 8 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Chile 1-1 Colombia

 While Chile were beaten in their opening match, there were several positives they would have taken against a very good-looking Uruguay team. The hosts would have had a few days to assess where they went wrong, and we expect them to put on a better performance this time around at home by holding the Colombians to a draw for their first point of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ChileDrawColombia
54.32% (0.209 0.21) 26.27% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 19.41% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 41.78% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.53% (0.135 0.13)60.47% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.4% (0.103 0.1)80.6% (-0.102 -0.1)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (0.14700000000001 0.15)22.46% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.99% (0.218 0.22)56.01% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.89% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)46.11% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.19% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)81.81% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Chile 54.3%
    Colombia 19.41%
    Draw 26.26%
ChileDrawColombia
1-0 @ 15.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.75% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 54.3%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.35% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.46%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.02% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.63% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.1% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 19.41%

How you voted: Chile vs Colombia

Chile
26.2%
Draw
32.8%
Colombia
41.0%
61
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2021 12am
Group Stage
Colombia
3-1
Chile
Borja (19' pen., 20'), Diaz (74')
Quintero (66')
Meneses (56')
Vidal (30'), Pulgar (68'), Diaz (85')
> Preview
Oct 14, 2020 1.30am
Group Stage
Chile
2-2
Colombia
Vidal (37' pen.), Sanchez (41')
Lerma (6'), Falcao (90+1')
Oct 12, 2019 5pm
International Friendlies
Colombia
0-0
Chile
Cuadrado (50')
Parot (43'), Vidal (73'), Isla (79'), Rubio (83')
Jun 29, 2019 12.20am
Quarter-Finals
Colombia
0-0
Chile
> Match Report
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