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Japan national football team
Women's World Cup | Quarter-Finals
Aug 11, 2023 at 8.30am UK
Eden Park
Sweden national football team

Japan Women
1 - 2
Sweden Women

Hayashi (87')
Ueki (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ilestedt (32'), Angeldal (51' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Women's World Cup clash between Japan Women and Sweden Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Japan Women 3-1 Norway Women
Saturday, August 5 at 9am in Women's World Cup

Sweden Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Sweden Women 0-0 USA Women (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, August 6 at 10am in Women's World Cup

We said: Japan Women 2-1 Sweden Women

 After playing 120 minutes against the USA, there may be some weary legs among the Sweden squad, and we think that tiredness could play into the hands of their opponents. Japan have proven at the tournament that they are comfortable dominating possession as well as launching clinical counter-attacks, and we think that they will showcase their attacking talent to secure their place in the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Sweden Women had a probability of 22.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Sweden Women win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Japan WomenDrawSweden Women
51.63%25.73%22.63%
Both teams to score 47.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.48%55.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.3%76.69%
Japan Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.45%21.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.38%54.62%
Sweden Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.18%39.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.52%76.48%
Score Analysis
    Japan Women 51.62%
    Sweden Women 22.64%
    Draw 25.72%
Japan WomenDrawSweden Women
1-0 @ 13.16%
2-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 9.31%
3-0 @ 5.17%
3-1 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 51.62%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 8.58%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 7.9%
1-2 @ 5.59%
0-2 @ 3.64%
1-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.32%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 22.64%

How you voted: Japan Women vs Sweden Women

Japan Women
69.8%
Draw
17.5%
Sweden Women
12.7%
63
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2021 11am
Quarter-Finals
Sweden Women
3-1
Japan Women
Ericsson (7'), Blackstenius (53'), Asllani (68' pen.)
Ilestedt (29')
Tanaka (23')
Miura (38')
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