Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 92.11%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for South Africa Women had a probability of 1.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.42%) and 4-0 (12.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.85%), while for a South Africa Women win it was 0-1 (0.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.
-0.19) 
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