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Women's Super League | Gameweek 14
Feb 16, 2025 at 6.45pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City
4 - 0
Liverpool

Shaw (30', 43'), Roord (60'), Prior (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Holland (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Liverpool Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City 3-4 Arsenal
Sunday, February 2 at 12pm in Women's Super League

Liverpool Women

All competitions
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 West Ham
Sunday, February 2 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester City Women 2-1 Liverpool Women

 Liverpool have enough quality in their squad to make it a difficult outing for Man City, but while we believe that the contest will be a close-fought affair, we believe that Man City will draw upon home advantage to claim a narrow victory over the Reds. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawLiverpool Women
57.3% (0.169 0.17) 21.86% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 20.84% (-0.1 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.79% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.37% (0.174 0.17)41.63% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.97% (0.17400000000001 0.17)64.03% (-0.17099999999999 -0.17)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.68% (0.113 0.11)14.32% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.86% (0.217 0.22)42.14% (-0.215 -0.22)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.72% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.37%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 57.3%
    Liverpool Women 20.84%
    Draw 21.86%
Manchester City WomenDrawLiverpool Women
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.12% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 6.42% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.91% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.87% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.015 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 57.3%
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.86%
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.25% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 20.84%

How you voted: Man City vs Liverpool

Manchester City Women
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Liverpool Women
11.1%
9
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