Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 60.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 0-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
