Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Apr 30, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol3 - 0River Plate
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-2 Penarol
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: River Plate 2-2 Progreso
Sunday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | River Plate |
60.8% ( -0.23) | 23.27% ( 0.21) | 15.92% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.64% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
