Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%).