Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Oct 14, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Centenario
Maldonado0 - 1Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boston River 2-0 Maldonado
Sunday, October 8 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, October 8 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Penarol 2-1 Defensor
Saturday, October 7 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, October 7 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 45.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.38%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.
Result | ||
Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Penarol |
25.81% ( -0) | 28.6% ( 0) | 45.6% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 42.59% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37% ( -0.02) | 63% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.54% ( -0.01) | 82.46% ( 0.01) |
Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.91% ( -0.01) | 41.09% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.37% ( -0.01) | 77.63% ( 0.01) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.29% ( -0.01) | 27.71% ( 0.01) |