Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose dos Santos Pinto
Sporting Covilha3 - 2Moncarapachense
Miguel Torrao Ramalho (11'), Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim (90+3'), da Costa Duarte (90+8')
da Costa Duarte (90+9')
da Costa Duarte (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Moura Vera Cruz (23'), Issoko (45')
Souza Machado (34'), Moura Vera Cruz (57'), Alexandre Leal Barros (77'), Ricardo Faustino Gomes (81'), Turossi (88')
Souza Machado (34'), Moura Vera Cruz (57'), Alexandre Leal Barros (77'), Ricardo Faustino Gomes (81'), Turossi (88')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Sporting Covilha and Moncarapachense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tondela 2-1 Sporting Covilha
Saturday, July 27 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, July 27 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Moncarapachense 1-3 Guimaraes
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Covilha win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Moncarapachense had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Covilha win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Moncarapachense win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Covilha would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Covilha | Draw | Moncarapachense |
| 53.86% | 25.2% | 20.93% |
| Both teams to score 46.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
